Fair Shares - 1st June 2015

Oil Peaks 2007 - Proactive response

Image:Cost_Of_Fuel.gif

Fair shares in 2015

Oil peaked in 2007 but the international response to the shortage of oil was immediate. Governments realised that, without an international agreement to share out the limited amount of oil and gas on a non-market basis, over-high oil prices would threaten both oil-producing and oil-consuming countries with depression and financial ruin.

A system called Cap and Share was put in place. (For more details see http://www.capandshare.org) This held that everyone on the planet had an equal claim to be able to use the atmosphere as a dump for his or her greenhouse gas emissions. Accordingly, an international organisation was set up to ration the use of the atmosphere. It now issues a smaller and smaller amount of permits each year to everyone on earth individually so that the total amount of fossil fuel we use before the emission rate has fallen to the level of the earth’s capacity to absorb it is consistent with reaching a greenhouse gas concentration target which, we hope, will limit the average global temperature to less than 2 degrees C. This annual issue is a massive job and one carried out in the teeth of fierce opposition from some governments who would like to have cornered the permits for themselves. However, it does give everyone an income which compensates them, in part in energy-intensive countries like Ireland, and often over-fully in poorer countries, for the extra cost of everything they buy due to the higher energy prices. Everyone sells their permits as soon as they get them and uses the money for their ordinary living. It has created huge markets around the world for lots of simple products.

In addition, the high energy prices have given a huge boost not only to the switch to renewable energy but also to ways of living which use little energy. We, in Ireland, are poorer than we were because a lot of our money goes overseas to buy emissions permits. We can no longer buy lots of things which we neglect or throw away when it becomes fashionable. We are always looking for things which are easily repairable and will last. I never buy stuff not made in the EU because I need to be sure that the spares will be available when I need them. Lots of local authorities are relieved that they did not invest in incinerators because there’s so little that’s burnable that’s being thrown away.

The demand from the poorer countries has created plenty of jobs in both manufacturing and in the farm sector, so there’s plenty of work, even if the money doesn’t go very far. I don’t have a car these days but I do have an electric bicycle which I charge up every night. There's very little house building going on - the costs are high because of the embodied energy, in spite of the use of timber-frame. In any case, lots more houses than were needed were built around the turn of the century so we spend what money we can adapting them for our needs and getting them up to a decent energy standard. Houses with garages sell well because people use the space for a workshop.

Key Fair Shares Facts in 2015

Government Policies

  • Maintaining economy on even keel the priority
  • Little money to invest as being used to purchase energy permits.
  • Home generated electrcicity can now be sold back to the grid but is taxed as income.

Economy

  • Energy prices have grown at 6% per year since 2005
  • Petrol prices have increased by 80% since then
  • Electricity prices have also increased by 80%
  • Inflation tops 10% as higher energy costs work their way through the European economy. Salaries and wages fail to keep up although demand for labour is high.

Business

  • Renewables are now 30% of energy generation, much of it individual or locally generated
  • Resurgence of local business with lower overheads than global corporations

Households

  • Plastic packaging becomes progressively expensive. Non-returnable glass & aluminium containers are banned
  • Dramatic decrease in number of cars on the road
  • Decline in number of single person households

Culture

What are we eating?

  • More local & seasonal due to increase in transport costs.
  • Semi-organic cabbage (fertilizers and pesticides expensive)
  • Irish farmed fish
  • Pasta (dried) produced in Ireland
  • Oranges from Spain (by boat)

What are we watching?

  • Ground Force are now converting gardens for vegetable growing
  • Community TV
  • Neighbours from Heaven

Most popular Websites

  • www.sharensave.org
  • www.c&c.gov.ie
  • www.bus&rail_timetables.ie

What are we selling

  • Cold press for rapeseed.
  • Wood burning stoves for sale, conversions from beer barrels add style.
  • Turnips in exchange for 1/2 ton of topsoil
  • For sale, 10 boxes of Organic Apples.

Headlines

  • Census shows poverty halved in last five years - Those previously on the povery line are well suited to making the best of tight times and do better than the middle class unprepared for making do with very little.
  • Out of town shopping centre bankrupt - People can no longer want to make a special journey just to do the shopping - they want to combine many tasks for each journey so prefer going to a town or city.
  • Crack down on loan sharks intimiation of pensioners for their permits - Everyone has permits to sell and older people do not always understand their value or how to sell them.
  • Kilkenny farmers market raided - Farmers Markets are now found in all towns but this makes it hard to check everyone is paying their taxes!
  • Tenant farming is new form of slavery - The rich are always with us. The rich have land and use tenant farmers to work the land. In some cases they offer very little to the tenant farmers.
  • Salmon caught in Liffy again - Lack of waste has reduced the pollution going into the river that flows through Dublin, enough that salmon are now using the river again.
  • 100mpg family car launched - There are still people who can afford new cars but there has not been significant development in car technology because of lower demand.
  • Return to sail - Sailing ships are a cheap form of transport and ships are being retrofitted with sail to to used when conditions allow.
  • Road deaths fall again - Less cars, less danger.


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